Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.307006 0.357687 0.411243 0.471777 0.538024 0.608057 0.687426
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.236157 0.305009 0.382529 0.475176 0.581808 0.699668 0.838759
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.177345 0.254615 0.347266 0.463941 0.604406 0.765683 0.962458
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.144293 0.228693 0.335816 0.476906 0.653154 0.861702 1.122741
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.111061 0.196330 0.311330 0.469853 0.675141 0.925065 1.245341
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.094954 0.184274 0.310942 0.491941 0.732864 1.032424 1.422923
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.075979 0.164251 0.296665 0.493312 0.762633 1.104745 1.558356
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.061006 0.147358 0.284320 0.495296 0.791921 1.176031 1.693029
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.051227 0.137120 0.280310 0.507910 0.834984 1.265233 1.851373
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.043996 0.129896 0.279839 0.524926 0.883893 1.362482 2.021165
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.037801 0.123262 0.279322 0.541255 0.931722 1.458738 2.190794
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029652 0.110397 0.266644 0.537631 0.950298 1.515471 2.309093
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.024083 0.101967 0.261011 0.545032 0.985650 1.596704 2.462676
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017991 0.090083 0.247473 0.538500 0.999829 1.648822 2.578168
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.012205 0.076213 0.227962 0.520262 0.995139 1.673972 2.657279
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009744 0.071297 0.225556 0.530605 1.033898 1.760502 2.820421
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.006605 0.061937 0.212324 0.520861 1.040758 1.801405 2.921432
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.005672 0.060819 0.216987 0.543184 1.098404 1.915860 3.124833
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.004015 0.055046 0.210123 0.543846 1.121304 1.980198 3.259445
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002781 0.050005 0.204115 0.545481 1.145470 2.046432 3.397169
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002118 0.047606 0.204256 0.558641 1.188525 2.140801 3.575082
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001682 0.046264 0.206891 0.576594 1.239669 2.247574 3.771246
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001310 0.044874 0.209184 0.593869 1.289934 2.353564 3.967212